Who Will Build the First Artificial Mind?

>> Saturday, June 30, 2007

Most of the work that has been done so far and is being done now in the field of artificial intelligence is focused on what is called "narrow" AI. That is, AI systems that are very good at, in fact far better than humans are, certain narrow fields. They are powerfully intelligent in terms of solving very specialized problems. According to AGIRI.org:

Specialized intelligence is simply the capability of a system to carry out some instance of Problem Solving that is considered difficult.

This includes the intelligence displayed by Narrow AI programs like Deep Blue or Google that are highly tailored to do just one sort of thing.
There is a sort of instant gratification in the development of narrow AI, because it solves difficult problems as soon as it is completed and thus has immediate value, whether in industry or academia. Nothing wrong with that. But who is working on making a mind?

Distinct from narrow AI is "general" AI, known as AGI. A general artificial intelligence would be able to understand and manipulate all kinds of patterns and problems. You could have a great conversation with an AGI. And an AGI that has access to its own code could quickly become a super-intelligent AI, with greater-than-human intelligence. Building an AGI is a much more difficult undertaking than building narrow AI. So who is working on AGI?

The Artificial General Intelligence Research Institute is, that's who. Specifically, Dr. Ben Goertzel and his team are building what they hope will become an AGI. They call it Novamente. Here is a recent 30 minute presentation by Dr. Goertzel on their project. His presentation is titled Artificial Intelligence and Human Immortality. Enjoy!



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BBC - Time Video: How to Live Forever

>> Friday, June 29, 2007

I posted about this program a few days ago but couldn't find it online. Someone did and posted the link in a comment, so here it is. It really is amazing.



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It's a Brave New Life: Synthetic Lifeforms Are Near

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We could be only months away from the creation of "the first new form of artificial life" because of a highly significant breakthrough by scientists at the J Craig Venter Institute in Rockville, Maryland.

For the first time in human history, scientists have implanted an entire genome from one species into another, which grew and multiplied, becoming the first species in the process. So one species was transformed into another.

In the past, researchers have transplanted snips of code, but never before has the entire genome of one species been successfully implanted into another. This breakthrough opens the way for the scientists to implant a completely synthetic genome, constructed from scratch in a lab, which they expect will result in the first synthetic lifeform ever created.

But why would they want to make a new lifeform?

The scientists want to create new kinds of bacterium to make new types of bugs which can be used as green fuels to replace oil and coal, digest toxic waste or absorb carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases from the atmosphere.
This research does make some people nervous, however.
But this pioneering research also triggers unease about the limits of science and the inevitable fears about “playing god,” as well as raising the spectre that this technology could one day be abused to create a new generation of bioweapons.
At some point the researchers hope to create a basic microbe with "only the minimal set of genes needed for life," and then be able to customize the microbe for different uses by adding additional genetic code to suit the purpose.

What'll they think of next? Stay tuned.

Source article

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Appreciating the Power of Connections

>> Thursday, June 28, 2007

What makes a human brain so much smarter than a supercomputer? After all, transistors are about a million times faster than neurons. The power of that kind of speed advantage is obvious if you were to challenge the simplest calculator to see whether you or it could calculate sums or long division problems the fastest. You would lose. But things that the brain can do with such apparent ease, like recognizing faces and understanding speech, are extremely difficult for room-sized computers. Why is this? Why is it that computers can be faster, and yet human brains are smarter? One word: Connections.

Network-Effect Metabrain

Each transistor in a supercomputer may connect directly to one, two, or perhaps even three other transistors. Each neuron, however, forms 104 to 105 synaptic connections with adjacent neurons. Add up the total number of connections and you get on the order of 1011 for the SC5832 supercomputer and 1016 for a human brain. But there are wider implications for this appreciation of the power of connections, implications that point to a growing "network-effect" metabrain, comprised of 109 connected human brains, which Robert Metcalfe, the founder of 3Com, writes about in this article on Forbes.com.

Let's Make an Affiliance

I'm currently reading Vernor Vinge's classic sci-fi novel, Rainbows End (Note: the lack of an apostrophe is not an error...read the book and you'll see why it's spelled this way). In it, a world of the near-term future exists where the sharing of information is the engine of productivity, and the forming of connections, or temporary partnerships, among disparate individuals leads to new knowledge and economic growth. In this world, these partnerships are called affiliances. A brief consideration of our current economy and culture will show that this situation is already happening.

Adding Value by Connecting Ideas

Social bookmarking, networking, news-marking, etc. on the web are growing in number and in memberships at an amazing rate. Not more than a few years ago, how many people could I interact with in any meaningful sharing-of-informational way? Compare that to how many I am exposed to on the Internet every day. The sharing of ideas and thoughts has already become exponentially more varied and frequent than it used to be. In spite of this, we are still connecting with others at a very narrow and shallow level.

Where will value be added in the future? It seems to me that those who add value to information will be those who make important connections between disparate ideas, thus creating new ideas. I will close this post with Mr. Metcalfe's eloquent final paragraphs:

Over the last 30 years, using Moore's Law transistors and Metcalfe's Law networks, we have gone from zero to 10 9 people on the Internet. With broadband deployment, the quality of an Internet connection is going up while costs go down. Social networking is proliferating and evolving. New collaboration modes are disrupting science, media and politics--for the better, I think.

The network effect is expanding the collective intelligence of the human race. We can hope that on the whole we humans are getting smarter by the square of some very large numbers. It's enough to make one optimistic.
Stay tuned.

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Singularity and its Implications for SETI

>> Wednesday, June 27, 2007

An interesting post on Sentient Developments prodded my brain into thinking a bit more deeply on what the Singularity implies regarding the search for extraterrestrial intelligence.

If we assume that the human species will merge with its technology within the next 30 to 40 years, which is what the Singularity includes, then we (whatever "we" are subsequent to this) will very quickly be able to extend ourselves throughout the known universe. (Read Ray Kurzweil's most recent book, The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, for his excellent explanation of this process.)

It stands to reason then, that if we can accomplish this after 4.5 billion years of evolution on this planet, so could any other sentient species in the universe. So, either they have already reached us but have chosen not to interact with or otherwise disturb us, or we will be the first to achieve this.

Another implication is that the universe, if it contains any other close-to-Singularity or post-Singularity species, which it surely would if life really is plentiful within it, the skies would be flooded with information-bearing electromagnetic radiation from ETI. The fact that it is not so flooded is in itself informative.

So, is SETI a waste of time? What do you think?

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Radical Life-Extension is Going Mainstream

>> Tuesday, June 26, 2007

No doubt every generation in human history has thought of itself as possessing unique characteristics. And no doubt many generations have. However, there are developments that are now on the brink of occurring that will transform humanity in ways that make the word "unique" seem far too weak to encompass what is coming.

A Science Channel program was aired this week, with little fanfare or publicity, but which nonetheless brought the idea of radical life-extension into the mainstream of public consciousness. It was profoundly moving to me for many reasons which I will explain in a bit. The program was titled very simply, "Time."

When I first saw the listing and decided to record it to my DVR, I anticipated a physics-based analysis of the "fourth dimension," which might have been interesting. What I saw, however, was something I did not expect: an analysis of human aging that culminated with the realistic hope of overcoming it within the lifetimes of those now living.

One of my first pleasant surprises was the program's host, Dr. Michio Kaku, a theoretical physicist who has a gift of explaining physics in a way that makes it interesting and understandable to the layman. He was the perfect person to be host.

The program began with a description of man's unique awareness of his own mortality and how this awareness gave rise to our desire to overcome the mastery of death. He spent some time discussing religions' promise of eternal life, but pointed out the problem that, in order to receive it, one must have faith that it exists. Dr. Kaku then confessed that, even though the viewer may not require proof of heaven's existence, he does.

As the program progressed, Dr. Kaku explained something that biologists have recently discovered, something that has turned our understanding of death on its head: There is no gene for death. There is absolutely nothing in our genetic code that programs us to die. Rather, everything in our genes is programed for us to live. So what's the problem?

Dr. Kaku then pointed to the fact that our metabolic process, in essence the process of being alive, "leaks" free radicals, which go on to damage our cells so that they do not operate properly. We have mechanisms in place to repair this damage, but those mechanisms are eventually overwhelmed, and our bodies age. That's it. That's the problem. The accumulation of cellular damage that our bodies cannot repair.

The program continued as I was fervently hoping it would, with a brief interview with none other than the bearded one, Aubrey de Grey himself, who explained his confidence that we will be able to repair enough of this damage to delay death long enough for rejuvenation therapies to improve, so that more damage can be repaired, thus buying enough time for further improvements, et cetera. He explained that, while biblical-style immortality would not be achieved using rejuvenation therapies (since humans could still be killed by other means besides aging), living for 1,000 to 2,000 years was definitely possible.

Finally, Dr. Kaku asked the question: If we could live that long by simply drinking the contents of a bottle (and here he held a hypothetical glass bottle of rejuvenation fluid), would we drink it? He walked about it New York City asking people that question. To his surprise, many said that they wound not, citing reasons such as, they would get bored, they would miss their departed loved ones, they would go mad, 80 years was enough, and the like. On the other hand, many said they would, that they loved life and would gladly accept more of it.

Then Dr. Kaku made it personal. "Would I drink it?" After a brief pause and a smile, he said, "Sure."

PS: If you know where a video of this program can be found on the web, please let me know.

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M.A.D. Becomes M.A.EM.D.

>> Monday, June 25, 2007

Everyone has heard of M.A.D., or Mutually Assured Destruction, which is the principle that has prevented a superpower nuclear holocaust to this point in human history. Simply stated, the nations with the capacity to launch massive nuclear attacks have been reticent about doing so because the result would be virtual annihilation for both attacked and attacker.

Now, another type of M.A.D. has appeared which I have termed M.A.EM.D. (pronounced maimed) for Mutually Assured Electromagnetic Destruction. Much of the world is now electromagnetically dependent. Anything with computer chips (and what doesn't have computer chips anymore?), especially anything that is connected to the Internet, is vulnerable to EM disruption. Everything from our banking system to our production lines to our public utilities is dependent on the Internet and thus vulnerable to disruption.

The world's major powers are therefore gearing up for all-out cyber war. According to a report in today's New York Times:

China, security experts believe, has long probed United States networks. According to a 2007 Defense Department annual report to Congress, China’s military has invested heavily in electronic countermeasures and defenses against attack, and concepts like “computer network attack, computer network defense and computer network exploitation.”

According to the report, the Chinese Army sees computer network operations “as critical to achieving ‘electromagnetic dominance’ ” — whatever that is — early in a conflict.

The United States is arming up, as well. Robert Elder, commander of the Air Force Cyberspace Command, told reporters in Washington at a recent breakfast that his newly formed command, which defends military data, communications and control networks, is learning how to disable an opponent’s computer networks and crash its databases.

“We want to go in and knock them out in the first round,” he said, as reported on Military.com.

An all-out cyberconflict could “could have huge impacts,” said Danny McPherson, an expert with Arbor Networks. Hacking into industrial control systems, he said, could be “a very real threat.”

Attacks on the Internet itself, say, through what are known as root-name servers, which play a role in connecting Internet users with Web sites, could cause widespread problems, said Paul Kurtz, the chief operating officer of Safe Harbor, a security consultancy. And having so many nations with a finger on the digital button, of course, raises the prospect of a cyberconflict caused by a misidentified attacker or a simple glitch.

Still, instead of thinking in terms of the industry’s repeated warnings of a “digital Pearl Harbor,” Mr. McPherson said, “I think cyberwarfare will be far more subtle,” in that “certain parts of the system won’t work, or it will be that we can’t trust information we’re looking at.”
Of course this is frightening. But it seems to me that those who have the wherewithal to do major damage, essentially the world's major economies, understand that any attack against the interests of another major power would certainly result in a devastating counterattack. And a counterattack would not necessarily be confined to the EM domain. After all, any cyberattack of significant power would be an attack on the victim's entire viability as a sovereign nation; such is the importance of our computer networks.

True, smaller rogue nations and terrorist organizations will launch attacks, but these kinds of entities would be less likely to possess the means to destroy another nation's entire computer systems.

In addition to M.A.EM.D., we can rely for our EM safety upon the fact that the world's major powers' self-interest dictates cooperation and harmonious relations with each other.

Am I being overly optimistic? I hope not. Stay tuned.

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That Moth Might Be Watching You

>> Sunday, June 24, 2007

I don't like insects of any kind, but now there is reason to dislike them even more. They may be watching me.

I'm just kidding, of course. I am of insufficient interest to anyone to be spied on. But the moths may soon be watching someone. Before you start to worry about my sanity, let me fill you in on developments.

You've heard of DARPA, haven't you? They are the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, an organization that is part of the U.S. Department of Defense. Their mandate is to manage and direct "selected basic and applied research and development projects for DoD, and pursue research and technology where risk and payoff are both very high and where success may provide dramatic advances for traditional military roles and missions."

One of DARPA's projects is HI-MEMS (Hybrid Insect Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems). HI-MEMS "is aimed at developing tightly coupled machine-insect interfaces by placing micro-mechanical systems inside the insects during the early stages of metamorphosis." Yes, what they do is inject a chip into a moth at the larval stage, allowing the generation of new tissues to "form a reliable and stable tissue-machine interface." But to what end?

DARPA sees this as a possible low-cost means to create robot moths that will go wherever they are directed and presumably send audio and video back to their controllers. This will allow its developers to effectively co-opt millions of years of evolution rather than trying to make mechanical flying entities.

You may have seen video demonstrations of remote controlled rats that can be steered from a wirelessly actuated signal to its brain. So we (humans) are clearly working on developing the means to control the minds of lower forms of life to suit our needs. This fact raises some frightening possibilities.

If the brains of moths and rats can be controlled, so can the brains of humans. The Manchurian Candidate scenario doesn't seem as far fetched as it once did. It woudn't be difficult to install a controller chip without the host's knowledge. Consider that nature has already divised the means to do this, as exemplified in the brain-controlling fungus.

The spores of the fungus attach themselves to the external surface of the ant, where they germinate. They then enter the ant’s body through the tracheae (the tubes through which insects breathe), via holes in the exoskeleton called spiracles. Fine fungal filaments called mycelia then start to grow inside the ant’s body cavity, absorbing the host’s soft tissues but avoiding its vital organs.

When the fungus is ready to sporulate, the mycelia grow into the ant’s brain. The fungus then produces chemicals which act on the host’s brain and alter its perception of pheromones. This causes the ant to climb a plant and, upon reaching the top, to clamp its mandibles around a leaf or leaf stem, thus securing it firmly to what will be its final resting place.

The fungus then devours the ant’s brain, killing the host. The fruiting bodies of the fungus sprout from the ant’s head, through gaps in the joints of the exoskeleton. Once mature, the fruiting bodies burst, releasing clusters of capsules into the air. These in turn explode on their descent, spreading airborne spores over the surrounding area. These spores then infect other ants, completing the life cycle of the fungus. Depending on the type of fungus and the number of infecting spores, death of an infected insect takes between 4-10 days.
Any entity that is co-opted to act according to the wishes of an external controller would not be aware of that fact. It would believe that it is acting rationally and according to its own wishes. This has already been demonstrated in experiments on humans. For example, when the part of their brains that control their sense of humor was electrically stimulated so that they would find anything funny, they would always rationalize a reason for their irrational reaction. The bottom line: you would be controlled without being aware of it.

So how should we respond to these developments? I believe that they cannot be stopped, so we should pursue the development of safeguards and defenses at the same time that we are developing the capabilities. Someone will achieve these things. It should be we, as responsible people, who get there first and have safeguards and defenses alongside the technology itself.

The idea for this post was inspired by Think Artificial

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A Better Understanding of Singularity: Aubrey de Grey

>> Saturday, June 23, 2007

Building recursively self-improving machines as a means of achieving smarter-than-human intelligence seems to be the only way that the singularity can occur. This simply means that this level of intelligence in machines requires machines that understand their own working well enough to make improvements on their own. The idea is that once this is achieved, they will begin to improve themselves more and more rapidly and become smarter than humans.

The really important issue becomes whether or not this strong AI is friendly to humans. The only way to make sure that it is friendly is to carefully manage and design this constraint into the recursively self-improving machines. That is, make then so that they have enough freedom to implement improvements, but not enough to lose their friendliness. Sort of like Asimov's three laws of robotics.

Clearly, we do not want to create unfriendly AI, and so there is an urgency that informs the people at the Singularity Institute. Their goal is to build friendly AI before someone else creates, whether accidentally or on purpose, unfriendly AI.

Aubrey de Grey explains all this in a very easily understood way, something he has a great talent for. He points out, additionally, that the public will begin to care about the singularity only when progress in the labs convinces people that these developments are imminent.

You will be sure to enjoy this interview, but what is even more important, you will begin, if you haven't yet, to appreciate the importance of the kind of work that is ongoing at the Singularity Institute, namely the responsible development of friendly AI before the careless development of unfriendly AI is upon us.





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Quantum Dots and Teleportation

>> Friday, June 22, 2007

The idea of transporting objects from point A to point B almost instantaneously and without travelling through physical space is not new. We have all seen it done on Star Trek and in the movie The Fly, but is it possible in the real world? Some researches believe they may have an idea about the medium to do it with: quantum dots.

According to recent research, tiny clusters of atoms known as quantum dots may be excellent media for quantum teleportation, a physics phenomenon in which information – in the form of a quantum state, a very specific mathematical “signature” of an atom – can be transmitted almost instantaneously to a distant location without having to physically travel through space. Teleportation is one facet of quantum information science, a developing field that could have a major impact on computing and communications.
We probably won't be seeing the teleportation of humans anytime soon, except in Second Life, but this is a step in the right direction.

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Will You Be Able to Navigate the Future?

>> Thursday, June 21, 2007

Much fun has been poked at people's unwillingness or inability to learn the ins and outs of new technology. Consider the notorious VCR clock of yesteryear, plaintively flashing its 12:00 over and over because its owner would not learn how to set the correct time. Computers have provided another barrel full of laughs. But as we accelerate the introduction of new technology, many people may stop laughing.

The fact is, new technologies, particularly entirely new technological paradigms, require a high degree of adaptation and learning in order to operate operate them successfully. Granted, the competitive marketplace puts pressure on designers to make new technology as simple to use as the etch-a-sketch, but there are limits to how far this simplification can go. Computer technology is now its own branch of learning for school-age children, but as the pace of advances increases exponentially, many may be left behind.

Vernor Vinge's novel Rainbows End tells the story of a man who fell victim to Alzheimer's being rejuvenated, only to find that he has missed several years of advancing technology, to the point where he must attend school to learn how to use it. Either that or be effectively crippled by his lack of knowledge. Little has been said about the massive challenge that lies ahead for the bulk of society as these new technologies begin to come online.

Take a look at this exchange between Robert, the rejuvenated man in Vinge's story, and Miri, his granddaughter.

She patted his arm. "Don't worry Robert. Once you learn to wear, you can learn anything. Right now, you're in a trap; it's like you're seeing the world through a little hole; just whatever your naked eye sees—and what you can get from that." She pointed at the magic foolscap that was tucked into his shirt pocket. "With some practice you should be able to see and hear as good as anyone."
So how can you or I avoid falling into the "trap" of technological ignorance? It seems to me that it's a matter of my mindset more than anything else. My mindset is that I will do my best to learn about and understand where technology is going, and attempt to be involved in it, not necessarily every jot and tittle, but certainly its major themes. What are they? Nanotechnology; virtual reality, strong AI, radical life-extension; robotics; singularity; transhumanism.

As one example of my determination to keep up, I created a Second Life identity named Midd Munro. In the world of Second Life, I have discovered, there is a lot to learn. The learning curve is steep. But I will do my best to climb it. If alternate virtual personalities are a probable outgrowth of singularity, I'd better get on board, right?

Stay tuned.

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How to Catch Photons and Accelerate Computing Speed

>> Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Have you ever thought about catching a photon? Before you assume that I am insane, consider that a photon, a particle of electromagnetic radiation, moving at the speed of light (naturally), should be catchable. All you would need to do is close the entrance before the photon can get out, once it comes in. And have some way to keep it from being absorbed or otherwise interacting with the inner surface of the trap. Right?

Something like that has been just been done by researchers at Cornell University. To what end? you ask. Transmitting signals in computers can be done better and faster with photons than with electrons, but photons are more difficult to control and so routing becomes an issue. Today, this routing of photons has to be done by converting the light pulses to electrons and back again to photons. Not very efficient. So a practical way of controlling the light pulses was needed.

Enter the Cornell researchers, who have developed a way to trap pulses of light and thus route them efficiently.

The new device relies on an optically controlled "gate" that can be opened and closed to trap and release light. Temporarily storing light pulses could make it possible to control the order in which bits of information are sent, as well as the timing, both of which are essential for routing communications via fiber optics. Today, such routing is done, for the most part, electronically, a slow and inefficient process that requires converting light pulses into electrons and back again. In computers, optical memory could also make possible optical communication between devices on computer chips.

Switching to optical routing has been a challenge because pulses of light, unlike electrons, are difficult to control. One way to slow down the pulses and control their movement would be to temporarily confine them to a small continuous loop. (See "Tiny Device Stores Light.") But the problem with this approach is getting the light in and out of such a trap, since any entry point will also serve as an exit that would allow light to escape. What's needed is a way to close the entryway once the light has entered, and to do so very quickly--in less time than it takes for the light to circle around the loop and escape. Later, when the light pulse is needed, the entryway could be opened again.

The Cornell researchers, led by Michal Lipson, a professor of electrical and computer engineering at the university, use a very fast, 1.5-picosecond pulse of light to open and close the entryway. The Cornell device includes two parallel silicon tracks, each 560 nanometers wide. Between these two tracks, and nearly touching them, are two silicon rings spaced a fraction of the width of a hair apart. To trap the light in these rings, the researchers turned to some of their earlier work, in which they found that the rings can be tuned to detour different colors by shining a brief pulse of light on them.

Light of a certain color passes along the silicon track, takes a detour through one of the rings, and then rejoins the silicon track and continues on its way. However, if the rings are retuned to the same frequency the moment after a light pulse enters a ring, the light pulse will circulate between the rings in a continuous loop rather than rejoin the silicon track and escape. Tuning the rings to different frequencies again, such as by shining another pulse on one of the rings, allows the light to escape this circuit and continue on to its destination.
I don't know how the light feels about being trapped, but since they are quickly let go again I don't think they mind too much. Stay tuned.

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Nanotechnology and All Things Precise

>> Tuesday, June 19, 2007

What is the big deal about nanotechnology. Why are really tiny machines better than regular-sized machines? And why are engineered drugs supposed to be so much better than the ones we came up with before? And what makes smart bombs so smart?

These are just some of the questions many people find themselves asking whenever these topics arise in the news. They are good questions, and they all have the same answer: Precision. Yes, folks, in each case it is about precision. Let me explain.

Hundred dollar bills

Imagine that you are a normal person, with a normal income and normal tastes in consumer goods. OK, got that? There is only one thing strange about you. It's your money. All you have are $100 bills. When you get paid, they round down. When you pay for goods and services, they round up. This means that your weekly salary of $1099 is rounded to $1000. You lose $99 every week. Too bad, so sad. When you buy a 25 cent pack of gum (if you are foolish enough to buy only that), you have to pay, $100. A dinner bill of $35 including tip costs you, you guessed it, $100.

Precision in fabrication

That would surely suck, wouldn't it? Well, we've been doing something like that for many thousands of years. How so? you ask. Well, whenever we build a widget, for example, we round up on the materials we use to build it, simply because our tools can't be any more precise about it. But what if we could build that widget atom by atom? We would use not one more atom than is necessary. With lots of widgets we could save a bundle.

Precision in medicine

How about drugs, the medicinal kind? First, instead of taking a bunch of ingredients, mixing them together and trying the concoction on test victims, I mean subjects, to see what, if any, therapeutic effects might result, we would be able to build a molecule or compound exactly to order, made from the start to do exactly what we want it to do. Second, rather than manufacturing one drug to treat every headache, we could design and create one that's just perfect for you, based on your specific genetic makeup.

Further, wouldn't it be nice if, instead of having to swallow a pill that has to be dissolved in your belly, then absorbed through the lining of your intestines, float around your bloodstream until most of the molecules find the right address, they could all be targeted and delivered precisely where they are needed? Not a molecule wasted?

Killing the right enemy

And smart bombs, well, we're talking about not killing 15 people when we only need to kill one. (I'm am optimistic about the future, but the idea that we won't have bombs or killing...come on.)

This idea of making things more precise through technology is affecting you right now. One reason why there's so little inflation, why prices of most things are stable or falling, is because of technology. The companies that make and process and package and deliver and sell the milk you buy are all using computers and sophisticated algorithms to make sure they aren't wasting a drop of milk or a second of time. Of course, they are wasting many drops and many seconds, because the technology available has lots of room for improvement. But we are learning the advantages of precision.

So, now you know. It's time to start cheering for technology, for artificial general intelligence, and the singularity.

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Even Rudimentary Virtual Reality is Engrossing

>> Monday, June 18, 2007

I finally took the plunge into Second Life, and I have to tell you, it was hard to come back. Not really; I managed to quit the program without too much trouble, but I do miss the flying part.

I was persuaded to get my Second Life identity started by this article. Wade Roush, writing for Technology Review, talks about how "The World Wide Web will soon be absorbed into the World Wide Sim: an immersive, 3-D visual environment that combines elements of social virtual worlds such as Second Life and mapping applications such as Google Earth."

It's not there yet, but my point in this article is simply that even as rudimentary as Second Life is at this moment, it's still an engrossing, and somewhat freeing, experience. The learning curve is fairly steep, but as you master the various possibilities available, you find yourself living in a world that you might wish was real. I mean, come on, you can fly!

I wrote an article a few months ago that I titled Going All-Virtual: The Desire to Leave Reality Behind. In it I discussed the possibility that, as VR becomes fully immersive, many people will come to prefer it to the real world. What I have understood today is that even though it's far from fully immersive now, it is incredibly enjoyable. Why is this so? Here are some of my common sense speculations:

First, it's different. From your current life. Many, if not most, people enjoy taking a break from their routines, from the typical day to day stuff of their normal lives. That's what recreation is all about. VR takes you to a different life. You can be a different person, with a different job, in a different place, with different friends, and on and on it goes.

Second, it's malleable. It can be manipulated and changed far more easily than real reality. Ray Kurzweil envisages an entirely new field of work opening up for talented people to design VR environments that the rest of us can enjoy and experiment with.

Third, it's limited only by my imagination. I often have dreams in which I fly. Flying in Second Life is remarkably similar to what I experience in my dreams. The ability to rise into the air to get a better view of my surroundings, and then moving above earth-bound obstacles to go wherever I want, is intoxicating. How much more so when I the landscape beneath me is as well-defined as real reality and I can feel the wind in my face and hear it whistling past my ears?

I'm sure there are many other enjoyable aspects to VR that I haven't touched on here. Suffice it to say, VR is going to entice us more and more. So stay tuned.

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Why Create Super-Intelligence?

>> Sunday, June 17, 2007

You will recall, if you are a fan of Seinfeld, a particularly heated debate between Jerry and George concerning Superman's super-powers. The subject of the argument was simple: Whether or not Superman's super-powers included super-humor. It went like this:

Jerry: "I think Superman probably has a very good sense of humor." George: "I never heard him say anything really funny." Jerry: "It's common sense. He's got super strength, super-speed; I'm sure he's got super-humor." George: "Either you're born with a sense of humor or you're not. It's not going to change. Even if you go from the red sun of Krypton all the way to the yellow sun of the Earth." As George makes his point, he uses the red ketchup bottle and yellow mustard bottle to represent the red and yellow suns. Jerry: "Why? Why would that one area of his mind not be affected by the yellow sun of the Earth?" George: "I don't know. But he ain't funny."
As far as we know, George was correct. Superman was not funny. Neither was he unusually intelligent. But what if he was? What if Superman were super-intelligent. Well then, he would probably be able to come up with a few solutions to humanity's problems that we were too stupid to see.

Not just because we can

This somewhat silly speculation about Superman has a point, and you don't have to have super-intelligence to see it. Many people who are opposed to the idea of creating artificial super-intelligence see efforts to do so as purely whimsical. Supposedly, we only want to do it because we think we can, and we are fascinated by what it might look like. Certainly there is some of that. But there's something much more important behind the drive to create it.

Consider the problems we face today and those we might face tomorrow. Global warming, whatever causes it. Asteroids and comets planning to say hello to the Earth. Pandemics. Imminent collapse of the Medicare system. The shrinking U.S. dollar. At the moment we have no solutions to these and many other problems. And there's no one smart enough around to come up with solutions anytime soon.

Let's ask the smart guy

But what if we were able to build a super-intelligent machine? Assuming we could build it in such a way that it is favorably disposed to our continued existence, then we could pose our problems to it, and we would be very likely to get back some answers that we hadn't thought of and would never have thought of. Mitchell Howe posted some thoughts on this topic on The Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence. In one particularly salient paragraph, he writes:
When something is really important, you look for the mind best able to turn information about your problem into a possible solution. Think about this, though: Every mind you can hit up for advice today is just a human brain, and therefore nearly identical in structure. That 14-ounce bundle of monkey neurons is our best example of general intelligence because it happens to be our only example. I suspect that if we could donate the human brain to a museum of all possible minds, it would end up in a special novelty exhibit where gawkers could laugh at the idea that people ever managed to think with those things.
So, why create super-intelligence? So we can have some super-humor, of course. Stay tuned.

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Qubit Calculations

>> Saturday, June 16, 2007

Researchers at Delft University of Technology have succeeded in carrying out calculations with two quantum bits, the building blocks of a possible future quantum computer. ~ Science Daily

Quantum computing has the potential to increase computing power to an almost unimaginable level. The reasons for this amazing potential have to do with how matter behaves at very small scales, where the laws of quantum mechanics come into play.

Richard Feynman, one of the world's most respected and beloved physicists and Nobel prize-winner, famously said "I think it is safe to say that no one understands Quantum Mechanics." This is because the way particles behave at this scale makes no intuitive sense. They take every possible path from point A to point B. They are here and there at the same time. Until you look at them. Then they quickly settle down into one place and one path.

How does this strangeness translate into seemingly infinite computing power?

In a traditional computer, information is encoded in a series of bits, and these bits are manipulated via Boolean logic gates arranged in succession to produce an end result. Similarly, a quantum computer manipulates qubits by executing a series of quantum gates, each a unitary transformation acting on a single qubit or pair of qubits. In applying these gates in succession, a quantum computer can perform a complicated unitary transformation to a set of qubits in some initial state. The qubits can then be measured, with this measurement serving as the final computational result. This similarity in calculation between a classical and quantum computer affords that in theory, a classical computer can accurately simulate a quantum computer. In other words, a classical computer would be able to do anything a quantum computer can. So why bother with quantum computers? Although a classical computer can theoretically simulate a quantum computer, it is incredibly inefficient, so much so that a classical computer is effectively incapable of performing many tasks that a quantum computer could perform with ease. The simulation of a quantum computer on a classical one is a computationally hard problem because the correlations among quantum bits are qualitatively different from correlations among classical bits, as first explained by John Bell. Take for example a system of only a few hundred qubits, this exists in a Hilbert space of dimension ~1090 that in simulation would require a classical computer to work with exponentially large matrices (to perform calculations on each individual state, which is also represented as a matrix), meaning it would take an exponentially longer time than even a primitive quantum computer.

Richard Feynman was among the first to recognize the potential in quantum superposition for solving such problems much much faster. For example, a system of 500 qubits, which is impossible to simulate classically, represents a quantum superposition of as many as 2500 states. Each state would be classically equivalent to a single list of 500 1's and 0's. Any quantum operation on that system --a particular pulse of radio waves, for instance, whose action might be to execute a controlled-NOT operation on the 100th and 101st qubits-- would simultaneously operate on all 2500 states. Hence with one fell swoop, one tick of the computer clock, a quantum operation could compute not just on one machine state, as serial computers do, but on 2500 machine states at once! Eventually, however, observing the system would cause it to collapse into a single quantum state corresponding to a single answer, a single list of 500 1's and 0's, as dictated by the measurement axiom of quantum mechanics. The reason this is an exciting result is because this answer, derived from the massive quantum parallelism achieved through superposition, is the equivalent of performing the same operation on a classical super computer with ~10150 separate processors (which is of course impossible)!! (Jacob West, 2000)
Didn't follow that? Not to worry. What it boils down to is that quantum computing, if fully realized, could easily perform calculations that a universe-sized classical machine would find impossible.

Is quantum computing only pie in the sky? No, it's not. Researchers are making solid progress towards its realization.
Now for the first time a 'controlled-NOT' calculation with two qubits has been realised with the superconducting rings. This is important because it allows any given quantum calculation to be realised.

The result was achieved by the PhD student Jelle Plantenberg in the team led by Kees Harmans and Hans Mooij. The research took place within the FOM (Dutch Foundation for Fundamental Research on Matter) concentration group for Solid State Quantum Information Processing.
Stay tuned.

Source: ScienceDaily

Via BetterHumans

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Reflections on "Human 2.0: Creating Gods"

>> Friday, June 15, 2007

I hope many of my readers took the time to watch the entire BBC presentation of "Human 2.0: Creating Gods," if only to gain an understanding of the fantastic possibilities and existential dangers that are approaching with the singularity. I watched it yesterday, and today I will post some of the thoughts that occurred to me as I reflected on what I saw.

The Singularity is Almost Certainly Inevitable

Anyone who watches the videos will probably come away with this feeling. Barring something like an ELE (extinction-level event) in the next two decades, computers will achieve and quickly thereafter exceed human intelligence by 2025; and the human brain will be simulated successfully in a computer.

Serious people (and serious money) are toiling away at various aspects of this goal, and they are making incredible headway. As Ray Kurzweil points out, computers became a billion times more powerful in the last 25 years, and they will become another billion times more powerful in the next 25 years, which will put them at and beyond human intelligence.

Within a year, a supercomputer that has been painstakingly fed, neuron by neuron, the circuitry and workings of a section of mouse brain, will be turned on. Once that occurs, it will not be very long before an entire animal brain, and then a human brain, will be simulated on a computer.

It Has Never Happened Before

Obviously the technology is new, that's not really what I'm talking about here. I'm talking about the singularity, which can be defined as a point of "technological change so rapid and profound it represents a rupture in the fabric of human history." We think of history as being cyclical: nations rise and fall, great men and women come and go, boom and bust, over and over. There have been amazing inventions: fire, the wheel, writing, the printing press, the airplane. But this has never happened before, and it has never even been anticipated before except in science fiction. We can speculate all we want about the results and consequences of it, but no one can predict what will come next.

The Downsides Must Be Mitigated

It cannot be stopped, and it will present existential dangers, that is, dangers that threaten the continued existence of the human species. What must be done then, and what is being done, is to develop safeguards and defensive measures against the inevitable downsides. Just as the Internet age brought viruses and Trojans, and just as responsible people have continued to develop the means to stay steps ahead of those who use it for nefarious purposes, so we must stay ahead of the dangers that will come with the singularity.

Please feel free to share your own reflections in a comment.

If you haven't
yet seen the videos, you can watch them be going to yesterday's post. And by so doing, you will be staying tuned.

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Human 2.0: Creating Gods

>> Thursday, June 14, 2007

These are must-see videos. This series of videos that demonstrates just how far along we are on the road to transhumanism and singularity: creating a new kind of human.



Part 2

Part 3

Part 4

(Wait until the monkey stops moving its arm! A profoundly creepy moment.)

Part 5

Part 6

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How the Brain Works: Jeff Hawkins

>> Wednesday, June 13, 2007

Understanding how the human brain works is part and parcel of technological singularity. Strong AI, building computer substrates that can accept and run a human mind, augmenting the human brain with implantable computer chips, all these things require a deep and detailed understanding of how the brain works.

Jeff Hawkins, in this video, delivers a fascinating explanation of his overarching theory of the brain:

To date, there hasn't been an overarching theory of how the human brain really works, Jeff Hawkins argues in this compelling talk. That's because we still haven't defined intelligence accurately. But one thing's for sure, he says: The brain isn't like a powerful computer processor. It's more like a memory system that records everything we experience and helps us predict, intelligently, what will happen next. Bringing this new brain science to computer devices will enable powerful new applications -- and it will happen sooner than you think.
You will thoroughly enjoy this 20-minute talk.



Via Cheesobacillus furiosus

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When Will Remediation Become Augmentation?

>> Tuesday, June 12, 2007

The question occurred to me as I was reading this story:

New implant may 'bring music to the deaf'
A simple change to the design of 'bionic ear' implants dramatically improves the quality of sound they provide, say researchers in the US who have tested a prototype on cats.

The new device bypasses the cochlear and instead connects directly to the nerves that carry information to the brain.
At present, it seems that all the research we read about in terms of medical technology in the media has to do with the treatment of disability or disease, which is as it should be. I shouldn't be given super hearing while so many have no hearing at all. That makes moral sense.

However, those of us who anticipate implantable technological augmentation of humans might wonder, how will it begin? When will remediation become augmentation?

Of course, augmentation of human ability is what all technology accomplishes, that is nothing new, but I am referring to implantable devices. When will someone, for example, develop and sell an implantable device that gives a normally-sighted person enhanced visual acuity? A hearing person, enhanced auditory acuity? A person with normal brain function, enhanced cognitive power?

How might we expect such devices to be funded? Marketed? Received? Would the public react negatively, accusing the creators and users of such technology of attempting to rise about the average person? Of attempting to create a new "master race"?

If we consider how technology is received at present: political desire to make computers available to every child, for example, we can imagine that there will be complaints about the poor and sick being left behind, and the government responding by making some of these implantable augmentation technologies available to everyone.

At the same time, we should be aware that the rich already have greater access to such technologies as now exist than does the average person. Al Gore and his three 30-inch LCD monitors comes to mind. I admit to being envious.

I don't know the answers to any of these questions, but I will continue to stay tuned, searching for news of that first non-remedial implant.

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Death is Swallowed Up

>> Monday, June 11, 2007

"But when this perishable will have put on the imperishable, and this mortal will have put on immortality, then will come about the saying that is written, "DEATH IS SWALLOWED UP in victory."

Although the means may be different, the passion is the same, the desire to overturn the rule of death, to make taxes the only thing that's certain. The sentiment expressed by the apostle arises in the breast of all humanity, a shaking of fists against a ruthless destroyer. We say together, Let us have an end to death's reign.

I wish it were so. One would think, at least I would, that we would all feel this way. Not to force unending life upon those who do not want it, but rather to allow for the choice. Death now leaves no alternative. I vote for options.

I vote for a world in which anyone who so desires can choose to be healthy and strong indefinitely; rejuvenation treatments every 10 years, but only if you want them. I vote for the option to make backups of our minds that can be restored in artificial bodies should accidental death occur. I vote for the choice to be uploaded into virtual worlds, and to live there as long as I want to. I don't think that's asking too much.

I learned this morning of the death of a beloved aunt, gone at 66 years of age. The pattern of her experiences and personality, as wonderful as they were, are gone forever. Yes, a part of her lives on in our own memories, but the person she was is no more. Why should she have ended at 66?

Some have expressed to me that desiring more than 80 years or so seems greedy. Enough is enough. Life would get boring after that. But why 80 years? We only choose that number because it happens to be our approximate, average life expectancy where we live. Should those who live in Botswana be happy with 40 years? Would they be tired of life after 40 years? How about Ethiopians at 45?

The fact is, these numbers are completely arbitrary. We only think that 80 is acceptable and should be enough for anyone because that happens to be about all we can expect at this moment and in this country. Those who accept the Bible literally should recall that Methuselah lived to 969, and no one complains that he must have been bored from 80 on.

It's almost as if most of us have been brainwashed into a quiescent melancholy or quiet cynicism so that we accept death with meekness and without complaint. It is my belief that radical life-extension will come anyway, but perhaps it would arrive sooner if we all wanted death to be swallowed up.

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Singularity Will Be a Global Phenomenon

>> Sunday, June 10, 2007

Living in the U.S. as I do, and perhaps as most of my readers do, it is easy for us to have a restricted view of where the singularity will occur. We tend to be America-centric, and therefore imagine that the advances in the fields that will bring on the singularity are happening in our nation and can therefore be controlled by U.S. legislation and regulation. That is a mistaken assumption.

As I scour the web for news relating to it, I find that the singularity is being pursued from points all across the globe. Research is being done in many countries, in the fields of AI, nanotechnology, robotics, computer technology and life-extension, in many cases ahead of domestic research.

What are the implications of the global reach of all this research and development? One implication is that the singularity seems to be more inevitable than ever. There is no single, regulated and controlled center of operations that can be scaled back or even slowed down. The pace of research is being driven faster and faster by an organic and chaotic momentum that will very probably lead to strong AI and radical life-extension far sooner than most people could imagine.

Another implication is that, rather than wishing it wouldn't happen, a more useful pursuit would be to attempt to guide the form of its eventual advent as much as possible. Saying it won't happen just isn't a productive expenditure of one's time or effort.

Remember these predictions?

“Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons.”
Popular Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949

“I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won’t last out the year.”
The editor in charge of business books for Prentice Hall, 1957

“But what … is it good for?”
Engineer at the Advanced Computing Systems Division of IBM, 1968, commenting on the microchip.

“This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.”
Western Union internal memo, 1876.

“Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.”
Lord Kelvin, president, Royal Society, 1895.

“The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives.”
Admiral William Leahy, US Atomic Bomb Project.

“Man will never reach the moon regardless of all future scientific advances.”
Dr. Lee De Forest, inventor of the vacuum tube and father of television.

“The abdomen, the chest, and the brain will forever be shut from the intrusion of the wise and humane surgeon.”
Sir John Eric Ericksen, British surgeon, appointed Surgeon-Extraordinary to Queen Victoria, 1873

Source: Thought Mechanics
Seems to me some folks can't wait to be added to this list.

The following story is only one of countless examples that demonstrate the global reach of research that will hasten the coming technological singularity:
China sees soaring development in nanotechnology: According to the meeting, China has poured about 1.5 billion yuan (about $197 million) into the research and development of nanoscience and nanotechnology over the past 15 years, achieving encouraging advances in this regard. For instance, the number of research papers published by Chinese scientists at the international journals in 2006 were on a par with those contributed by their US or Japanese colleagues. The number of patents they have filed for has increased from less than 1,000 in 2001 to more than 4,600 in March 2005.
Stay tuned.

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Consensus vs. Subjective Reality

>> Saturday, June 09, 2007

One of the goals contained within the concept of technological singularity is that of reverse engineering the human brain in order to recreate it in a non-biological context, i.e. a computer.

With this in mind, I spent some time considering one of the most debilitating, yet interesting, phenomena involving the operation of human mind: the occasional conflict between consensus and subjective reality. (I understand that consensus reality is itself an aggregation of many subjective realities, but I use the term in apposition to subjective because it suits my purposes here.)

When I speak of consensus reality, I mean the reality on which we all generally agree. For example, if I were to ask 1,000 English-speaking people to read this sentence, they would generally read it the same way. They would agree on the words used and the order of the words.

But what if one of the thousand people reported seeing a picture of a 12-headed dragon, rather than a sentence? His subjective reality would differ from the consensus. A far milder example of this happens in my family from time to time when it comes to identifying colors. Where I see brown, the rest of my family (the consensus view), in amused fashion, informs me that the color in question is actually green. Apparently I see colors differently than do they. I am outnumbered, and so I acquiesce.

In much more dramatic fashion, this phenomenon occurs in schizophrenics. Often confused with multiple personality disorder, schizophrenia actually involves hallucinations (perceptions that occur without connection to an appropriate source) and delusions (beliefs that are not subject to reason). People with schizophrenia most often hear voices that no one else hears.

“Voices may describe the patient’s activities, carry on a conversation, warn of impending dangers, or even issue orders to the individual.” (NIMH)

Another example of this phenomenon happens sometimes among the elderly with a disease called Charles Bonnet Syndrome. In these cases the problem lies not within the brain, but the retina. It is thought that a growing blind spot in the retina causes the brain to “fill in their growing ‘blind spot’ (called a scotoma) with visual hallucinations of the most terrifying kind.” (Science and Consciousness)

I wonder then, how much of what we perceive about reality is actually formed by consensus? The socialization we receive as we grow from infancy to adulthood, to what degree is it responsible for what we see, hear, and believe to be true?

As we reverse engineer the human brain, one would expect that we will gain a far more detailed understanding of this issue. It wouldn’t do to have strong AI that is subject to paranoid schizophrenia, would it?

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Want to Sound Like a Singularity Guru? Learn These Terms

>> Friday, June 08, 2007

George P. Dvorsky's blog, Sentient Developments, has an excellent list of "Must-Know" terms for the 21st century intelligentsia.

If you like to think of yourself as a knowledgeable person who is comfortable discussing the bleeding-edge developments of his or her day, you need to study this list. Here's a taste:

Artificial General Intelligence: This ain't your daddy's AI. Rather, AGI describes the kind of intelligence that you and I have -- the commonsense knowhow we have when we're put into unfamiliar situations. Once developed, artificial agents endowed with AGI will be non-specialized intelligent entities that will come to represent the bona fide synthetic equivalent to human intelligence, and then move beyond.

Cosmological Eschatology (aka physical eschatology): CE is the study of how the Universe develops, ages, and ultimately comes to an end. While hardly a new concept, what is new is the suggestion that advanced intelligence may play a role in the universe's life cycle. Given the radical potential for postbiological superintelligence, a number of thinkers have suggested that universe engineering is a likely activity for advanced civilizations. This has given rise to a number of theories, including the developmental singularity hypothesis and the selfish biocosm hypothesis.

Friendly AI: If we are going to survive the Singularity and the onset of greater-than-human AI, it had better be friendly. And if it turns out to be friendly, it won't be by accident. Computer science theorists such as Eliezer Yudkowsky and Ben Goertzel are already working on what may ultimately prove to be an intractable problem. A poorly programmed, malevolent, or misguided SAI could destroy all of humanity with a mere thought. Asimov's Three Laws will do little against incomprehensibly powerful autopotent entities (a term coined by Nick Bostrom indicating total self-awareness and ability to self-modify).
You don't want to be totally left behind, do you? Then get cracking!

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Forbes Investors' Report: Nano 101 - An Investor's Guide to the World of Nanotechnology

>> Thursday, June 07, 2007

WHAT IS NANOTECHOLOGY? (and why you should care)

Until recently, Mother Nature has been the only governing force in controlling intervention and manipulation of atoms and molecules. But after three decades of research, scientists can now work at the nanoscale to manipulate atoms and molecules, and they are able to understand these building blocks of matter like never before. I define nanotechnology as the precision placement, measurement, manipulation and modeling of sub-100 nanometer-scale matter, or matter that consists of about 4 to 400 atoms. To put that in perspective, one nanometer—a billionth of a meter—is 1/75,000th the width of a human hair. The range below 100 nanometers is important because when we get down to this small size, the classical laws of physics change to give us novel properties that can allow scientists to produce new materials with the exact properties they desire: smaller, stronger, tougher than what we know now.

So why should you care? For starters, almost every industry will be affected by nanotechnology. In a recent study, fewer than 2% of 1,000 top executives were able to define “nanotechnology.” Less than 5% had even heard of the word. But once the term was explained, 80% agreed that nanotechnology was relevant to their particular industry. In some circles, it promises pre-programmable drug delivery robots swimming inside your bloodstream to battle cancer, the creation of pollution-free energy systems and eternal life. Others, at a more conservative end of the spectrum, say that nanotechnology will be used to create stronger materials, next generation computing, and benign, yet salient, advances predicated on real science. It is the mixture of materials science, engineering, physics, chemistry and biology. (Get the entire pdf report below.)

Forbes/Wolfe Nanotech 101 Report

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Robot Gives Remote Medical Faculty Legs

>> Wednesday, June 06, 2007

What a confusing headline. I apologize. Allow me to explain. Suffering from a shortage of faculty, the Nursing Institute of West Central Ohio has added a new member to the nursing educational community. Its name is RP-7™, and it is a Remote Presence Robotic System developed by InTouch Health®.

The robot, in effect, gives legs to remote faculty.

It will allow the professor to move, see, hear and talk as though they were actually with the students. As baby boomer nurses in education approach retirement, this technology will provide them with a new career option. This cutting-edge technology makes it possible for nursing faculty with chronic disorders or disabilities to continue to contribute to nursing education. It provides a seasoned workforce faculty with an option to work while on vacation or in retirement from anywhere in the world.
Judging by appearances, it seems to me that a few days' exposure to the robot might be required before students can tune it out and see the professor instead. Now that these faculty members have mobility, vision, hearing and voice, it does not take too much imagination to envision the addition of touch, in which case the remote nurses and doctors can treat patients as well as teach students.

Via BetterHumans

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Longevity Escape Velocity Explained: Aubrey de Grey

>> Tuesday, June 05, 2007




There seem to be more people who are skeptical of the possibility of radical life-extension than there are who consider it to be worth pursuing. This sense I have is based only on my own interactions with others and could well be wrong. It may be that most people are simply oblivious to the concept and the theories that underlie it.

Hence the dissemination of information about radical life-extension by people like Aubrey de Grey becomes invaluable, for if the general public sees it as a worthwhile endeavor, it will receive the benefit of greater interest and funding, and will therefore occur more quickly than it otherwise might.

I encourage you to watch this video, simply because the concept of LEV (Longevity Escape Velocity), as explained by Aubrey in this video, is eminently well thought-through and easy to understand.

In a nutshell, the idea is that metabolism, or living, creates damage as a side-effect, and when the amount of damage created reaches a certain threshold, it results in pathology. Pathology breeds more pathology, causing a downward spiral leading to death. De Grey's proposal is not to tinker with metabolism, which is not well understood, or to focus on pathology, which ultimately overwhelms the body, but rather to focus on repairing the damage before it accumulates to the point of pathology.

He postulates that a somewhat effective rejuvenation therapy that could repair only half the damage existing in a middle-aged person could extend that person's healthspan sufficiently long to allow for technological improvements in rejuvenation such that the next one could repair 75 percent, which would extend healthspan again, allowing for advances to make an even more effective rejuvenation, and so on.

I hope you'll watch it.

Via Accelerating Future

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Transparent Transistors Invented

>> Monday, June 04, 2007



Picture this: Bright, high-resolution maps displayed on your car's windscreen. Roll-up, see-through computer screens. TV on the lenses of your eye-glasses.

All of these and more are possible with OLED (Organic Light-Emitting Diodes) technology, which is already transparent and can be put on bendable materials. But until now, the transistors that control each display's OLED pixels, weren't. An article on Technology Review explains:

Researchers at Purdue University and Northwestern University have now made flexible, see-through transistors using zinc-oxide and indium-oxide nanowires. By contrast, the amorphous or polycrystalline silicon transistors used in existing displays are not transparent. The new transistors also perform better than their silicon counterparts and are easier to fabricate on flexible plastic.
Nanotechnology has again opened new avenues for our accelerating drive into the future.
The nanowire transistors have high electron mobility, which determines how fast the transistor can work and how much current it can carry. In fact, the mobility is a few hundred times better than it is for transistors made from amorphous silicon, which is widely used in the electronics for displays. Because of that, the transistors could be made smaller and faster, Janes says. More-compact transistors, he says, would mean an even larger pixel area. What's more, the nanowire transistors are much easier to make on plastic than silicon transistors are because they don't need high-temperature processing.
As always, stay tuned.

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